The Election Is Over

I've been telling you—for a couple months now—that Donald Trump is not going to be president. I've gotten a lot of pushback on this from readers who proclaim, variously, that the polls are wrong, that Trump is playing four-dimensional chess, that this is the second coming of Reagan, or that Beltway Establishment types like me don't understand what's happening in Real America. (I live pretty far outside the Beltway, fwiw.)

But after the Khan family, and first debate meltdown, and the 3:00 a.m.beauty queen tweets, and "grab them by the p**sy," and the second debate loss (check the polls), and now the polls showing that Hillary Clinton isn't just expanding her lead nationally, but thatArizona and Georgia are in play, I suspect people are starting to come around. This race is over. It has been over for months.

This isn't a value judgment. It's just math. Come and look at the numbers with me:

- We are at Election Day -28. Currently Clinton is +6 in the RealClear average.

- That number is trending away from Trump. The "grab them by the p**sy" tape broke on the Friday night of a holiday weekend with a major hurricane hitting the east coast. Because of what Trump said in the tape, most media outlets are reporting his words elliptically, because they don't want to use his exact phrase.