State of the race: 7 swing states, 7 paths to Trump victory

As Election Day comes closer and polling numbers become clearer, there seem to be seven ways for Donald Trump to win the White House.

The seven Trump victory scenarios assume there are seven swing states: Arizona (11 electoral votes), Colorado (9), Florida (29), Nevada (6), North Carolina (15), Ohio (18) and Pennsylvania (20).

The bad news for Trump: Every path requires Trump to win Florida. There is no margin for error there.

Hillary Clinton could lose Florida and still have 11 paths to victory that don't have any single must-win state.

Pennsylvania and Ohio are near must-wins for Trump. If he wins Florida but loses Pennsylvania, he has to win the five remaining swing states. If he wins Florida but loses Ohio, then Arizona, Colorado, North Carolina and Pennsylvania become must-wins.
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