The upcoming retirements of Bob Corker and now Jeff Flake from the United States Senate will be helpful to President Donald Trump if his supporters get what they hope for: Republican successors in those seats who will be better soldiers for Trump. That’s very likely in Tennessee, where the Trump-friendly congresswoman Marsha Blackburn is an early favorite to win the GOP nomination to succeed Corker and would have a clear advantage in the Republican-heavy state.
Things are more complicated in Arizona, where the only remaining declared candidate is the super-Trumpy Kelli Ward, who has the backing of the likes of Steve Bannon but is viewed as a problematic general-election candidate against the leading Democrat, congresswoman Kyrsten Sinema. (Flake, for that matter, would have been in deep trouble in his reelection bid had he made it through a tough primary.) The GOP establishment views Flake’s exit as a chance to find a better general-election candidate who could also win in a primary—meaning someone more amenable to the president but also more electable than Ward. One Washington Republican told me Martha McSally, a congresswoman and retired Air Force colonel, might fit the bill.
But even assuming things go well for Republicans in these races, that doesn’t solve a more immediate problem for Donald Trump: Corker and Flake, who on Tuesday issued separate broadsides against the president, will remain in the Senate for the next 14 months. That’s a lot of time, with a lot of legislative items on the agenda. As a practical matter, both senators’ reliability for party-line votes—on tax reform, on health care, on anything else the Republicans will want to accomplish before the 2018 midterms—is in real question.
Mitch McConnell has a narrow margin in the Senate to begin with. These Trump-inspired departures don’t make it any easier for McConnell to get the president’s agenda through.
What should Americans make of the back-and-forth between Trump and his Republican Senate foes? The message Tuesday from White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders: This is what the voters signed up for.